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Risk assessment of investment projects by the Monte Carlo method using Oracle

Risk is part of all our lives

Слайды и текст этой презентации

Слайд 1 Risk assessment of investment projects by the Monte Carlo

method using Oracle Crystal Ball
Elena Malyh

Risk assessment of investment projects

Слайд 2Risk is part of all our lives

Risk is part of all our lives

Слайд 3





discrete risks

(strategic decisions)
continuous risks

(risks fluctuations in market factors)
TYPES

OF RISK OF THE INVESTMENT PROJECT
discrete risks(strategic decisions)continuous risks(risks fluctuations in

Слайд 5How does Crystal Ball work?
Crystal Ball is an easy-to-use

simulation program that helps to analyze the risks and uncertainties

associated with Microsoft Excel spreadsheet models.
How does Crystal Ball work? Crystal Ball is an easy-to-use simulation program that helps to analyze the

Слайд 7 Identifying Uncertainty and Defining Assumptions
There are many types

of distribution,
but the most used are normal and triangular

distribution
Identifying Uncertainty and Defining Assumptions  There are many types of distribution, but the most

Слайд 10Analyzing Simulation Results

Analyzing Simulation Results

Слайд 11Analyzing Simulation Results

Analyzing Simulation Results

Слайд 13When you specify this type of distribution, you must specify

a set of parameters that may vary depending on the

amount of information available.
When you specify this type of distribution, you must specify a set of parameters that may vary

Слайд 14The definition
of custom continuous distribution

The definition of custom continuous distribution

Слайд 15The definition of
a discrete custom distribution

The definition of a discrete custom distribution

Слайд 16The definition of a custom distribution
based on available data

The definition of a custom distribution based on available data

Слайд 20DIAGRAM OF SENSITIVITY

DIAGRAM OF SENSITIVITY

Слайд 21THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION

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