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Principles of Corporate Finance Seventh Edition Richard A. Brealey Stewart C

Topics Covered75 Years of Capital Market HistoryMeasuring RiskPortfolio RiskBeta and Unique RiskDiversification

Слайды и текст этой презентации

Слайд 1Principles of Corporate Finance

Seventh Edition
Richard A. Brealey
Stewart C. Myers
Slides

by
Matthew Will
Chapter 7
McGraw Hill/Irwin
Copyright © 2003 by The McGraw-Hill Companies,

Inc. All rights reserved

Introduction to Risk, Return, and the Opportunity Cost of Capital

Principles of Corporate FinanceSeventh EditionRichard A. Brealey Stewart C. MyersSlides byMatthew WillChapter 7McGraw Hill/IrwinCopyright © 2003 by

Слайд 2Topics Covered
75 Years of Capital Market History
Measuring Risk
Portfolio Risk
Beta and

Unique Risk
Diversification

Topics Covered75 Years of Capital Market HistoryMeasuring RiskPortfolio RiskBeta and Unique RiskDiversification

Слайд 3The Value of an Investment of $1 in 1926
Source: Ibbotson

Associates
Index
Year End
1
6402
2587

64.1
48.9
16.6

The Value of an Investment of $1 in 1926Source: Ibbotson AssociatesIndexYear End16402258764.148.916.6

Слайд 4Source: Ibbotson Associates
Index
Year End
1
660
267

6.6
5.0
1.7
Real returns
The Value of an Investment of

$1 in 1926

Source: Ibbotson AssociatesIndexYear End16602676.65.01.7Real returnsThe Value of an Investment of $1 in 1926

Слайд 5Rates of Return 1926-2000
Source: Ibbotson Associates
Year
Percentage Return

Rates of Return 1926-2000Source: Ibbotson AssociatesYearPercentage Return

Слайд 6Average Market Risk Premia (1999-2000)
Risk premium, %
Country

Average Market Risk Premia (1999-2000)Risk premium, %Country

Слайд 7Measuring Risk
Variance - Average value of squared deviations from mean.

A measure of volatility.

Standard Deviation - Average value of squared

deviations from mean. A measure of volatility.
Measuring RiskVariance - Average value of squared deviations from mean. A measure of volatility.Standard Deviation - Average

Слайд 8Measuring Risk
Coin Toss Game-calculating variance and standard deviation

Measuring RiskCoin Toss Game-calculating variance and standard deviation

Слайд 9Measuring Risk
Return %
# of Years
Histogram of Annual Stock Market Returns

Measuring RiskReturn %# of YearsHistogram of Annual Stock Market Returns

Слайд 10Measuring Risk
Diversification - Strategy designed to reduce risk by spreading

the portfolio across many investments.
Unique Risk - Risk factors affecting

only that firm. Also called “diversifiable risk.”
Market Risk - Economy-wide sources of risk that affect the overall stock market. Also called “systematic risk.”
Measuring RiskDiversification - Strategy designed to reduce risk by spreading the portfolio across many investments.Unique Risk -

Слайд 11Measuring Risk

Measuring Risk

Слайд 12Measuring Risk

Measuring Risk

Слайд 13Measuring Risk

Measuring Risk

Слайд 14Portfolio Risk
The variance of a two stock portfolio is the

sum of these four boxes

Portfolio RiskThe variance of a two stock portfolio is the sum of these four boxes

Слайд 15Portfolio Risk
Example
Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in

Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected dollar return on

your CC is 10% x 65% = 6.5% and on Reebok it is 20% x 35% = 7.0%. The expected return on your portfolio is 6.5 + 7.0 = 13.50%. Assume a correlation coefficient of 1.
Portfolio RiskExample Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected

Слайд 16Portfolio Risk
Example
Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in

Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected dollar return on

your CC is 10% x 65% = 6.5% and on Reebok it is 20% x 35% = 7.0%. The expected return on your portfolio is 6.5 + 7.0 = 13.50%. Assume a correlation coefficient of 1.
Portfolio RiskExample Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected

Слайд 17Portfolio Risk
Example
Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in

Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected dollar return on

your CC is 10% x 65% = 6.5% and on Reebok it is 20% x 35% = 7.0%. The expected return on your portfolio is 6.5 + 7.0 = 13.50%. Assume a correlation coefficient of 1.
Portfolio RiskExample Suppose you invest 65% of your portfolio in Coca-Cola and 35% in Reebok. The expected

Слайд 18Portfolio Risk

Portfolio Risk

Слайд 19Portfolio Risk
The shaded boxes contain variance terms; the remainder contain

covariance terms.
STOCK
STOCK
To calculate portfolio variance add up the boxes

Portfolio RiskThe shaded boxes contain variance terms; the remainder contain covariance terms.STOCKSTOCKTo calculate portfolio variance add up

Слайд 20Beta and Unique Risk
1. Total risk = diversifiable risk +

market risk
2. Market risk is measured by beta, the sensitivity

to market changes
Beta and Unique Risk1. Total risk = diversifiable risk + market risk2. Market risk is measured by

Слайд 21Beta and Unique Risk
Market Portfolio - Portfolio of all assets

in the economy. In practice a broad stock market index,

such as the S&P Composite, is used to represent the market.

Beta - Sensitivity of a stock’s return to the return on the market portfolio.
Beta and Unique RiskMarket Portfolio - Portfolio of all assets in the economy. In practice a broad

Слайд 22Beta and Unique Risk

Beta and Unique Risk

Слайд 23Beta and Unique Risk
Covariance with the market
Variance of the market

Beta and Unique RiskCovariance with the marketVariance of the market

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