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Тимофеева А.А. 2018 © 1 Methods of comparable data obtaining

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Methods of comparable data obtainingCurrency conversionAverage annual exchange rateThe purchasing power parityMarket exchange rateInternational organizationThe influence of different factorsТимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

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Слайд 1Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
Methods of comparable data obtaining

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©Methods of comparable data obtaining

Слайд 2Methods of comparable data obtaining
Currency conversion
Average annual exchange rate

The purchasing

power parity
Market exchange rate
International organization
The influence of different factors
Тимофеева А.А.

2018 ©
Methods of comparable data obtainingCurrency conversionAverage annual exchange rateThe purchasing power parityMarket exchange rateInternational organizationThe influence of

Слайд 3PPP (purchasing power parity)
A Prototype Is The "Big Mac"
Тимофеева А.А.

2018 ©

PPP (purchasing power parity)A Prototype Is The

Слайд 43200 main consumer of goods and services
236 main investment products
16

typical construction projects
Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
PPP (purchasing power parity)

3200 main consumer of goods and services236 main investment products16 typical construction projectsТимофеева А.А. 2018 ©PPP (purchasing

Слайд 5When PPP?
Cross-country comparisons

Rational allocation of limited funds (quotas of the

IMF)

The identification of appropriate exchange rates for countries opening their

economies

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

When PPP?Cross-country comparisonsRational allocation of limited funds (quotas of the IMF)The identification of appropriate exchange rates for

Слайд 6Сomparable price level
Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Сomparable price levelТимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Слайд 7Price level ratio of PPP conversion factor (GDP) to market

exchange rate
Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Price level ratio of PPP conversion factor (GDP) to market exchange rateТимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Слайд 8Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
List by the International Monetary Fund (Estimates

for 2017)

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©List by the International Monetary Fund (Estimates for 2017)

Слайд 9Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
Proportion of countries by GDP PPP
China
USA
India
Japan
Germany
Russia
Brazil
Indonesia
Great Britain

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©Proportion of countries by GDP PPPChinaUSAIndiaJapanGermanyRussiaBrazilIndonesiaGreat Britain

Слайд 10Сlassification of the countries

Сlassification of the countries

Слайд 11195 countries, 72 dependent areas
Country = economy
≠ state
The number

of States and dependent territories in the world
Colony = "dependent

territory"

Neocolonialism

195 countries, 72 dependent areas Country = economy≠ stateThe number of States and dependent territories in the

Слайд 12Signs of dependent areas


Advantages for mother-country

Advantages for dependent area

Signs of dependent areasAdvantages for mother-countryAdvantages for dependent area

Слайд 13Group of countries
Developed
countries




Developing
countries


Transition


economy(?)
5

Group of countriesDeveloped   countriesDeveloping   countriesTransition    economy(?)5

Слайд 14Criteria:
The nature of the economy
The level of socio-economic development
6

Criteria:The nature of the economyThe level of socio-economic development6

Слайд 15Sectoral structure of GDP as an indicator of the level

of socio-economic development
The level and quality of life
GDP/GNI per capita
The

level of socio-economic development

7

Sectoral structure of GDP as an indicator of the level of socio-economic developmentThe level and quality of

Слайд 16Sectoral structure of GDP as an indicator of the level

of socio-economic development of the country
High level

development => tertiary sector
secondary sector =>manufacturing

Developing = > if tertiary - tourism, trade
if secondary - mining

8

2004:
1:2:3 %
USA: 2:23:75
Russia: 5:34:61
India: 23:26:52

2013:
1:2:3 %
USA: 1:20:79
Russia: 4:38:58
India: 17:26:57

Sectoral structure of GDP as an indicator of the level of socio-economic development of the country

Слайд 17The level and quality of life
Lifespan
The incidence
Personal safety
Natural environment
Unemployment
Consumption
Human development

index
Lifespan
The level of education
The level of GDP
9

The level and quality of lifeLifespanThe incidencePersonal safetyNatural environmentUnemploymentConsumptionHuman development indexLifespanThe level of educationThe level of GDP9

Слайд 18ИРЧП 2013
Russia – 50, 0,798

ИРЧП 2013Russia – 50,  0,798

Слайд 19
World map indicating the Human Development Index (based on 2014 data, published

on December 14, 2015)

World map indicating the Human Development Index (based on 2014 data, published on December 14, 2015)

Слайд 20Approximate characteristics of developed countries

1) GDP per capita is on

average about 30 thousand dollars and it is growing =>
3)

Social support – the "middle class" who share the values and basic foundations of society

2) A high level of consumption and investment and the standard of living of the population as a whole

Approximate characteristics of developed countries 1) GDP per capita is on average about 30 thousand dollars and

Слайд 214) Evolution towards domination of the industry and the trend

of transformation of the industrial economy in the post-industrial
5) Growing

service sector , and the share of the population employed in it is leading

6) Technological progress has a significant impact on economic growth and the structure of the economy

Approximate characteristics of developed countries

4) Evolution towards domination of the industry and the trend of transformation of the industrial economy in

Слайд 227) Business structure is non-uniform. The leading role in the

economy belongs to powerful corporations – TNCs
8) The wide distribution

of small and medium business as factor of economic and social stability. This business employs up to 2/3 of the economically active population. In many countries, small businesses provide up to 80% of new workplaces and affects the sectoral structure of the economy

Approximate characteristics of developed countries

7) Business structure is non-uniform. The leading role in the economy belongs to powerful corporations – TNCs8)

Слайд 239) The state of developed countries is an active participant

in economic activity
Approximate characteristics of developed countries

9) The state of developed countries is an active participant in economic activityApproximate characteristics of developed countries

Слайд 2410) The openness to the world economy and the liberal

organization of the foreign trade regime
11) In the field of

international labour migration, developed countries act as the receiving party

Approximate characteristics of developed countries

10) The openness to the world economy and the liberal organization of the foreign trade regime11) In

Слайд 25Countries with economies in transition:

The former socialist countries of

Central and Eastern Europe:
Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary, Poland, Romania, Slovakia,

Czech Republic, successors of the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia — Bosnia and Herzegovina, Republic of Macedonia, Slovenia, Croatia, Serbia and Montenegro;

The former Soviet republics, now the CIS countries:
Azerbaijan, Armenia, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Ukraine;

The former Baltic republics: Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia.

A particular challenge is the classification of China, since the building of capitalism and, therefore, market relations is under the leadership of the Communist party of China (CPC).
Countries with economies in transition: The former socialist countries of Central and Eastern Europe: Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary,

Слайд 26The term "transition economy" is used to describe the transformation

of the socialist economy to the market one.

The transition

to the market :

Exemplary characteristics of transition countries

The deregulation of the economy, requiring privatization and stimulation of development of private enterprises;
The development of non-state forms of ownership, including private ownership on the means of production;
The formation of the consumer market and the saturation of its products

The experience of “shock therapy” is not a guarantee of a strong economy

The term

Слайд 27Exemplary characteristics of developing countries
The low level of socio-economic development
1)

Suppliers of raw materials and fuels on the world market
2)

As suppliers of raw materials depend on import of finished products

3) The economy's dependence on TNCs

4) The low level of development of productive forces, backwardness of technical equipment of industry, agriculture and social infrastructure

Exemplary characteristics of developing countriesThe low level of socio-economic development1) Suppliers of raw materials and fuels on

Слайд 285) The agricultural profile of the economy and the share

of the population employed in agriculture
6)   Poverty, overpopulation, high

unemployment

7) Economic role of the state is large and along with the traditional functions include:
The exercise of national sovereignty over natural resources;
Control over foreign financial assistance;
Agrarian transformation associated with increased agricultural production, creation of cooperatives, etc.;

Exemplary characteristics of developing countries

5) The agricultural profile of the economy and the share of the population employed in agriculture6)  

Слайд 29The classification of the International Monetary Fund
2 groups of

countries
Major industrialized country,
or "Big seven"



Euro area countries

+ Hong

Kong
Taiwan
The Vatican
Faroe Islands
Bermuda
Liechtenstein
Monaco
San Marino
Andorra

«Industrialized countries»

«Other emerging market and developing countries»

Australia
Austria
Belgium
Germany
Greece
Denmark
Ireland
Spain
Italy
Canada
Netherlands
New Zealand
Norway
Portugal
United Kingdom
USA
Finland
France
Switzerland
Sweden
Japan
Cyprus
Czech Republic Iceland
Israel
South Korea Luxembourg
Malta
Singapore
Slovakia
Slovenia

The classification of the International Monetary Fund 2 groups of countriesMajor industrialized country, or

Слайд 30Major industrialized country,
or "Big seven"
?
11.4% of the population
50%

of the WGDP 42,3% of the global trade, PPP

Major industrialized country, or

Слайд 32Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
The PwC The World in 2050 report suggests that emerging

markets will constitute many of the world’s top ten economies by

gross domestic product (GDP) and purchasing power parity (PPP) by 2050.
Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©The PwC The World in 2050 report suggests that emerging markets will constitute many of the world’s top

Слайд 33Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
The PwC report also looks at the

fastest growing economies between 2016 and 2050, which include frontier

markets by today’s definition.
Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©The PwC report also looks at the fastest growing economies between 2016 and 2050,

Слайд 34Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Слайд 35Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©

Слайд 36Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
Challenges for policymakers

Protectionism

Benefits of globalisation  equity

Green

technologies

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©Challenges for policymakersProtectionismBenefits of globalisation  equityGreen technologies

Слайд 37Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©
Opportunities for business :

Mature emerging markets (costs,

consumers, B2B)

Тимофеева А.А. 2018 ©Opportunities for business :Mature emerging markets (costs, consumers, B2B)

Слайд 38«Other emerging market and developing countries»
146 countries, 85% of the

population, 60% of the WGDP, 65% of world trade

«Other emerging market and developing countries»146 countries, 85% of the population, 60% of the WGDP, 65% of

Слайд 39Sub-group "Other emerging market and developing countries"
exporters of liquid fuel;


b) exporters of other raw materials;
c) exporters of industrial

finished products;
d) exporters of services;
e)financial criteria: countries export capital and import of capital;
f)countries not exporting oil

Criteria:

Sub-group

Слайд 40The classification of the world Bank
GNI per capita
3 groups:
Countries with

low income
Crane middle-income
Countries with high income
Countries with above-average income
Country lower

middle income

The relationship between poverty, child mortality and economic performance

The classification of the world BankGNI per capita3 groups:Countries with low incomeCrane middle-incomeCountries with high incomeCountries with

Слайд 41207 countries

207 countries

Слайд 42The state of external debt
Poor countries with largest external debt
Countries

with moderate debt
Countries with a small debt
Largest external debt
80% of

the GNI
220% for export

Moderate debt
>60%

The state of external debtPoor countries with largest external debtCountries with moderate debtCountries with a small debtLargest

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