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Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall In this chapter, you learn: To describe the properties of central tendency, variation, and shape in numerical dataTo construct and interpret

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Chapter 3

Numerical Descriptive Measures
Business Statistics: A First Course 6th Edition

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter 3Numerical Descriptive MeasuresBusiness Statistics: A First

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In this chapter, you learn:
To describe the properties of

central tendency, variation, and shape in numerical data
To construct and interpret a boxplot
To compute descriptive summary measures for a population
To compute the covariance and the coefficient of correlation

Learning Objectives

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall In this chapter, you learn: To describe

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Summary Definitions
The central tendency is the extent to which all

the data values group around a typical or central value.

The variation is the amount of dispersion or scattering of values

The shape is the pattern of the distribution of values from the lowest value to the highest value.

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: The Mean
The arithmetic mean (often just called

the “mean”) is the most common measure of central tendency

For a sample of size n:

Sample size

Observed values

The ith value

Pronounced x-bar

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: The Mean
The most common measure of central

tendency
Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values
Affected by extreme values (outliers)

(continued)

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Mean = 13

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

Mean = 14

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: The Median

In an ordered array, the median

is the “middle” number (50% above, 50% below)





Not affected by extreme values

Median = 13

Median = 13

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: Locating the Median
The location of the median

when the values are in numerical order (smallest to largest):



If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle number

If the number of values is even, the median is the average of the two middle numbers

Note that is not the value of the median, only the position of
the median in the ranked data

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: The Mode
Value that occurs most often
Not affected

by extreme values
Used for either numerical or categorical data
There may be no mode
There may be several modes

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Mode = 9

0 1 2 3 4 5 6

No Mode

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: Review Example
House Prices:

$2,000,000
$ 500,000 $ 300,000 $ 100,000 $ 100,000
Sum $ 3,000,000

Mean: ($3,000,000/5)
= $600,000
Median: middle value of ranked data = $300,000
Mode: most frequent value = $100,000

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: Which Measure to Choose?
The mean is generally

used, unless extreme values (outliers) exist.
The median is often used, since the median is not sensitive to extreme values. For example, median home prices may be reported for a region; it is less sensitive to outliers.
In some situations it makes sense to report both the mean and the median.

DCOVA

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Measures of Central Tendency: Summary
Central Tendency
Arithmetic Mean
Median
Mode
Middle value in the ordered

array

Most frequently observed value

DCOVA

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Same center,
different variation
Measures of Variation
Measures of variation give information

on the spread or variability or dispersion of the data values.

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: The Range
Simplest measure of variation
Difference between the largest

and the smallest values:

Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Range = 13 - 1 = 12

Example:

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Why The Range Can Be Misleading
Ignores the way

in which data are distributed



Sensitive to outliers


7 8 9 10 11 12

Range = 12 - 7 = 5

7 8 9 10 11 12

Range = 12 - 7 = 5

1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5

1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120

Range = 5 - 1 = 4

Range = 120 - 1 = 119

DCOVA

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Average (approximately) of squared deviations of values from the mean

Sample

variance:

Measures of Variation: The Sample Variance

Where

= arithmetic mean
n = sample size
Xi = ith value of the variable X

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: The Sample Standard Deviation
Most commonly used measure of

variation
Shows variation about the mean
Is the square root of the variance
Has the same units as the original data



Sample standard deviation:

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: The Standard Deviation
Steps for Computing Standard Deviation

1. Compute the

difference between each value and the mean.
2. Square each difference.
3. Add the squared differences.
4. Divide this total by n-1 to get the sample variance.
5. Take the square root of the sample variance to get the sample standard deviation.

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Sample Standard Deviation Calculation Example
Sample Data (Xi) :

10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24

n = 8 Mean = X = 16

A measure of the “average” scatter around the mean

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Comparing Standard Deviations
Mean = 15.5
S = 3.338


11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Data B

Data A

Mean = 15.5
S = 0.926

11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21

Mean = 15.5
S = 4.570

Data C

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Comparing Standard Deviations
Smaller standard deviation

Larger standard deviation
DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Summary Characteristics
The more the data are spread out,

the greater the range, variance, and standard deviation.

The more the data are concentrated, the smaller the range, variance, and standard deviation.

If the values are all the same (no variation), all these measures will be zero.

None of these measures are ever negative.

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: The Coefficient of Variation
Measures relative variation
Always in percentage

(%)
Shows variation relative to mean
Can be used to compare the variability of two or more sets of data measured in different units

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Comparing Coefficients of Variation
Stock A:
Average price last year

= $50
Standard deviation = $5


Stock B:
Average price last year = $100
Standard deviation = $5

Both stocks have the same standard deviation, but stock B is less variable relative to its price

DCOVA

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Measures of Variation: Comparing Coefficients of Variation
Stock A:
Average price last year

= $50
Standard deviation = $5


Stock C:
Average price last year = $8
Standard deviation = $2

Stock C has a much smaller standard deviation but a much higher coefficient of variation

DCOVA

(continued)

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Locating Extreme Outliers: Z-Score
To compute the Z-score of a data value,

subtract the mean and divide by the standard deviation.

The Z-score is the number of standard deviations a data value is from the mean.

A data value is considered an extreme outlier if its Z-score is less than -3.0 or greater than +3.0.

The larger the absolute value of the Z-score, the farther the data value is from the mean.

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Locating Extreme Outliers: Z-ScoreTo compute the Z-score

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Locating Extreme Outliers: Z-Score
where X represents the data value
X is

the sample mean
S is the sample standard deviation

DCOVA

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Locating Extreme Outliers: Z-Score
Suppose the mean math SAT score is 490,

with a standard deviation of 100.
Compute the Z-score for a test score of 620.

A score of 620 is 1.3 standard deviations above the mean and would not be considered an outlier.

DCOVA

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Shape of a Distribution
Describes how data are distributed
Two useful shape

related statistics are:
Skewness
Measures the amount of asymmetry in a distribution
Kurtosis
Measures the relative concentration of values in the center of a distribution as compared with the tails

DCOVA

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Shape of a Distribution (Skewness)
Describes the amount of asymmetry in

distribution
Symmetric or skewed

Mean = Median


Mean < Median

Mean > Median

Right-Skewed

Left-Skewed

Symmetric

DCOVA

Skewness
Statistic

< 0 0 >0

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Shape of a Distribution (Kurtosis)
Describes relative concentration of values in

the center as compared to the tails


Sharper Peak
Than Bell-Shaped

Flatter Than
Bell-Shaped

Bell-Shaped

DCOVA

Kurtosis
Statistic

< 0 0 >0

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Слайд 32Shape of a Distribution -- Kurtosis measures how sharply the

curve rises approaching the center of the distribution

Sharper Peak
Than

Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis > 0)

Flatter Than
Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis < 0)

Bell-Shaped
(Kurtosis = 0)

DCOVA

Shape of a Distribution -- Kurtosis measures how sharply the curve rises approaching the center of the

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General Descriptive Stats Using Microsoft Excel Functions
DCOVA

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General Descriptive Stats Using Microsoft Excel Data Analysis Tool
Select Data.
Select

Data Analysis.
Select Descriptive Statistics and click OK.

DCOVA

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General Descriptive Stats Using Microsoft Excel Data Analysis Tool
4. Enter

the cell range.
5. Check the Summary Statistics box.
6. Click OK

DCOVA

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Excel output
Microsoft Excel
descriptive statistics output,
using the house price

data:

House Prices: $2,000,000
500,000 300,000 100,000 100,000

DCOVA

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Minitab Output
Descriptive Statistics: House Price

Total
Variable Count Mean SE Mean StDev Variance Sum Minimum
House Price 5 600000 357771 800000 640,000,000,000 3000000 100000

N for
Variable Median Maximum Range Mode Skewness Kurtosis
House Price 300000 2000000 1900000 100000 2.01 4.13
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Quartile Measures
Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with

an equal number of values per segment

The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the observations are smaller and 75% are larger
Q2 is the same as the median (50% of the observations are smaller and 50% are larger)
Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third quartile

Q1

Q2

Q3

DCOVA

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Quartile Measures: Locating Quartiles
Find a quartile by determining the value in

the appropriate position in the ranked data, where

First quartile position: Q1 = (n+1)/4 ranked value

Second quartile position: Q2 = (n+1)/2 ranked value

Third quartile position: Q3 = 3(n+1)/4 ranked value


where n is the number of observed values

DCOVA

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Quartile Measures: Calculation Rules
When calculating the ranked position use the following

rules

If the result is a whole number then it is the ranked position to use

If the result is a fractional half (e.g. 2.5, 7.5, 8.5, etc.) then average the two corresponding data values.

If the result is not a whole number or a fractional half then round the result to the nearest integer to find the ranked position.

DCOVA

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(n = 9)
Q1 is in the

(9+1)/4 = 2.5 position of the ranked data
so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values,
so Q1 = 12.5

Quartile Measures: Locating Quartiles

Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22

Q1 and Q3 are measures of non-central location
Q2 = median, is a measure of central tendency

DCOVA

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(n = 9)
Q1 is in the (9+1)/4 =

2.5 position of the ranked data,
so Q1 = (12+13)/2 = 12.5

Q2 is in the (9+1)/2 = 5th position of the ranked data,
so Q2 = median = 16

Q3 is in the 3(9+1)/4 = 7.5 position of the ranked data,
so Q3 = (18+21)/2 = 19.5

Quartile Measures Calculating The Quartiles: Example

Sample Data in Ordered Array: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22

Q1 and Q3 are measures of non-central location
Q2 = median, is a measure of central tendency

DCOVA

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Quartile Measures: The Interquartile Range (IQR)
The IQR is Q3 – Q1

and measures the spread in the middle 50% of the data

The IQR is also called the midspread because it covers the middle 50% of the data

The IQR is a measure of variability that is not influenced by outliers or extreme values

Measures like Q1, Q3, and IQR that are not influenced by outliers are called resistant measures

DCOVA

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Calculating The Interquartile Range
Median
(Q2)
X
maximum
X
minimum
Q1
Q3
Example box plot for:
25%

25% 25% 25%

12 30 45 57 70

Interquartile range
= 57 – 30 = 27

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Calculating The Interquartile RangeMedian(Q2)XmaximumXminimumQ1Q3Example box plot for:25%

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The Five-Number Summary
The five numbers that help describe the center,

spread and shape of data are:
Xsmallest
First Quartile (Q1)
Median (Q2)
Third Quartile (Q3)
Xlargest

DCOVA

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Relationships among the five-number summary and distribution shape
DCOVA

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Five-Number Summary and The Boxplot
The Boxplot: A Graphical display of the

data based on the five-number summary:

Example:

Xsmallest -- Q1 -- Median -- Q3 -- Xlargest

25% of data 25% 25% 25% of data
of data of data

Xsmallest Q1 Median Q3 Xlargest

DCOVA

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Five-Number Summary: Shape of Boxplots
If data are symmetric around the median

then the box and central line are centered between the endpoints






A Boxplot can be shown in either a vertical or horizontal orientation

Xsmallest Q1 Median Q3 Xlargest

DCOVA

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Слайд 49 (箱线图—Boxplot)

(箱线图—Boxplot)

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Distribution Shape and The Boxplot
Right-Skewed
Left-Skewed
Symmetric
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q1
Q2
Q3
DCOVA

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Слайд 51Distribution Shape and The Boxplot

Distribution Shape and  The Boxplot

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Boxplot Example
Below is a Boxplot for the following data:
0

2 2 2 3 3 4 5 5 9 27





The data are right skewed, as the plot depicts

0 2 3 5 27

Xsmallest Q1 Q2 Q3 Xlargest

DCOVA

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Numerical Descriptive Measures for a Population
Descriptive statistics discussed previously described

a sample, not the population.

Summary measures describing a population, called parameters, are denoted with Greek letters.

Important population parameters are the population mean, variance, and standard deviation.

DCOVA

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Numerical Descriptive Measures for a Population: The mean µ
The population

mean is the sum of the values in the population divided by the population size, N

μ = population mean
N = population size
Xi = ith value of the variable X

Where

DCOVA

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Average of squared deviations of values from the mean

Population variance:
Numerical

Descriptive Measures For A Population: The Variance σ2

Where

μ = population mean
N = population size
Xi = ith value of the variable X

DCOVA

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Numerical Descriptive Measures For A Population: The Standard Deviation σ
Most

commonly used measure of variation
Shows variation about the mean
Is the square root of the population variance
Has the same units as the original data



Population standard deviation:

DCOVA

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Sample statistics versus population parameters
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The empirical rule approximates the variation of data in a

bell-shaped distribution
Approximately 68% of the data in a bell shaped distribution is within ± one standard deviation of the mean or

The Empirical Rule

68%

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Approximately 95% of the data in a bell-shaped distribution lies

within ± two standard deviations of the mean, or µ ± 2σ

Approximately 99.7% of the data in a bell-shaped distribution lies within ± three standard deviations of the mean, or µ ± 3σ

The Empirical Rule

99.7%

95%

DCOVA

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Using the Empirical Rule
Suppose that the variable Math SAT scores

is bell-shaped with a mean of 500 and a standard deviation of 90. Then,

68% of all test takers scored between 410 and 590 (500 ± 90).

95% of all test takers scored between 320 and 680 (500 ± 180).

99.7% of all test takers scored between 230 and 770 (500 ± 270).

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Using the Empirical RuleSuppose that the variable

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Regardless of how the data are distributed, at least (1

- 1/k2) x 100% of the values will fall within k standard deviations of the mean (for k > 1)
Examples:


(1 - 1/22) x 100% = 75% …........ k=2 (μ ± 2σ)
(1 - 1/32) x 100% = 89% ………. k=3 (μ ± 3σ)

Chebyshev Rule

within

At least

DCOVA

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The Covariance
The covariance measures the strength of the linear relationship

between two numerical variables (X & Y)

The sample covariance:





Only concerned with the strength of the relationship
No causal effect is implied

DCOVA

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Covariance between two variables:


cov(X,Y) > 0 X

and Y tend to move in the same direction
cov(X,Y) < 0 X and Y tend to move in opposite directions
cov(X,Y) = 0 X and Y are independent
The covariance has a major flaw:
It is not possible to determine the relative strength of the relationship from the size of the covariance

Interpreting Covariance

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Covariance between two variables:cov(X,Y) > 0

Слайд 64Chap 3-
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Coefficient of Correlation
Measures the relative strength of the linear relationship

between two numerical variables
Sample coefficient of correlation:




where

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Coefficient of CorrelationMeasures the relative strength of

Слайд 65Chap 3-
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Features of the Coefficient of Correlation
The population coefficient of correlation is

referred as ρ.
The sample coefficient of correlation is referred to as r.
Either ρ or r have the following features:
Unit free
Ranges between –1 and 1
The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear relationship
The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear relationship
The closer to 0, the weaker the linear relationship

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Features of the Coefficient of CorrelationThe population

Слайд 66Chap 3-
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Scatter Plots of Sample Data with Various Coefficients of Correlation
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
Y
X
r

= -1

r = -.6

r = +.3

r = +1

Y

X

r = 0

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Scatter Plots of Sample Data with Various

Слайд 67Chap 3-
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The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel Function
DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel

Слайд 68Chap 3-
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The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel Data Analysis Tool
Select

Data
Choose Data Analysis
Choose Correlation & Click OK

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel

Слайд 69Chap 3-
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The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel Data Analysis Tool
Input data

range and select appropriate options
Click OK to get output

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel

Слайд 70Chap 3-
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Chap 3-
Interpreting the Coefficient of Correlation Using Microsoft Excel
r = .733

There

is a relatively strong positive linear relationship between test score #1 and test score #2.

Students who scored high on the first test tended to score high on second test.

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chap 3-Interpreting the Coefficient of Correlation Using

Слайд 71Chap 3-
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The Coefficient of Correlation Using Minitab

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall The Coefficient of Correlation Using Minitab

Слайд 72Chap 3-
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Pitfalls in Numerical Descriptive Measures
Data analysis is objective
Should report the

summary measures that best describe and communicate the important aspects of the data set

Data interpretation is subjective
Should be done in fair, neutral and clear manner

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Pitfalls in Numerical  Descriptive MeasuresData analysis

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Ethical Considerations
Numerical descriptive measures:

Should document both good and bad results
Should

be presented in a fair, objective and neutral manner
Should not use inappropriate summary measures to distort facts

DCOVA

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Ethical ConsiderationsNumerical descriptive measures:Should document both good

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Chapter Summary
Described measures of central tendency
Mean, median, mode
Described measures of

variation
Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation, coefficient of variation, Z-scores
Illustrated shape of distribution
Skewness & Kurtosis
Described data using the 5-number summary
Boxplots
Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter SummaryDescribed measures of central tendencyMean, median,

Слайд 75Chap 3-
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Chapter Summary
Discussed covariance and correlation coefficient
Addressed pitfalls in numerical descriptive

measures and ethical considerations

(continued)

Chap 3-Copyright ©2013 Pearson Education, Inc. publishing as Prentice Hall Chapter SummaryDiscussed covariance and correlation coefficientAddressed pitfalls

Слайд 76Slide 3-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Active Learning

Lecture Slides
For use with Classroom Response Systems
Displaying and Describing

Quantitative Data

Business Statistics: A First Course

Slide 3- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Active Learning Lecture Slides For use with Classroom Response

Слайд 77Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
When we describe

the shape of a distribution we typically do so in

terms of its

modes
symmetry
outliers
all of the above
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.When we describe the shape of a distribution we typically

Слайд 78Based on the histogram, what can we say about the

shape of the distribution?
Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education,

Inc.








A. It is skewed left.
B. It is skewed right.
C. It is symmetric.
D. It is bimodal.

Based on the histogram, what can we say about the shape of the distribution?Slide 5- Copyright ©

Слайд 79Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
We might choose

to use a stem-and-leaf display rather than a boxplot because

it …
reveals the shape of a distribution.
is better for large data sets.
displays the actual data values.
I only
II only
III only
I, II, and III
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.We might choose to use a stem-and-leaf display rather than

Слайд 80Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
The SPCA has

kept data records for the past 20 years. If they

want to show the trend in the number of dogs they have housed, what kind of plot should they make?
Boxplot
Time series plot
Bar graph
Histogram
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.The SPCA has kept data records for the past 20

Слайд 81Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Two sections of

a class took the same quiz. Section A had 15

students who had a mean score of 80, and Section B had 20 students who had a mean score of 90. Overall, what was the mean score for all students on the quiz?
84.3
85.7
85.0
It cannot be determined.
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Two sections of a class took the same quiz. Section

Слайд 82Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Whenever we compare

more than two groups, a boxplot does a better job

than a histogram.

True
False

Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Whenever we compare more than two groups, a boxplot does

Слайд 83Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Which of the

following is not included in a five-number summary?
median

first quartile
mean
maximum
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Which of the following is not included in a five-number

Слайд 84Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Which of the

following are measures of the center of a distribution (circle

all that apply)?

Mean
Variance
Standard deviation
Median
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Which of the following are measures of the center of

Слайд 85Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
Which of the

following are measures of the spread of a distribution (circle

all that apply)?

Mean
Variance
Standard deviation
Median
Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.Which of the following are measures of the spread of

Слайд 86Slide 5-
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.
If you cannot

find a reason for an outlier or remove it, you

should use the mean and IQR to summarize the center and spread.

True
False

Slide 5- Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc.If you cannot find a reason for an outlier or

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