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Debt Relief, Grants and Free Riding: IDA’s proposed response Multilateral

OverviewIDA grants are linked to a country’s risk of debt distress.MDRI debt relief and IDA grants create significant benefits for recipient countries in the form of strengthened debt sustainability prospects and

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Слайд 1Debt Relief, Grants and Free Riding: IDA’s proposed response Multilateral Development

Bank Meeting on Debt Issues Washington, DC, June 21-22, 2006

Debt Relief, Grants and Free Riding:  IDA’s proposed response     Multilateral Development Bank

Слайд 2Overview
IDA grants are linked to a country’s risk of debt

distress.
MDRI debt relief and IDA grants create significant benefits for

recipient countries in the form of strengthened debt sustainability prospects and resources for the MDGs.
However they also potentially add to the risk of “free riding”
This presentation will discuss the free-rider problem, and building blocks to limit the risk.
OverviewIDA grants are linked to a country’s risk of debt distress.MDRI debt relief and IDA grants create

Слайд 3What is free riding?
the indirect cross-subsidization, through IDA grants and

debt relief, of other creditors offering non-concessional terms

Higher risk of

debt distress

Lower risk of debt distress

IDA

Grants and debt relief

Non-concessional lending

Other creditors

What is free riding?the indirect cross-subsidization, through IDA grants and debt relief, of other creditors offering non-concessional

Слайд 4What are the Risks?
Grant-recipient countries with little access to financial

markets – risk is limited.
Higher in resource-rich grant-recipient countries that

could rely on non-concessional borrowing collateralized with future export receipts.
Risks of free riding may be magnified as a result of lower debt ratios resulting from the implementation of the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI).
What are the Risks?Grant-recipient countries with little access to financial markets – risk is limited.Higher in resource-rich

Слайд 5The Impact of the MDRI
MDRI brings debt ratios for eligible

countries (at least initially) down to levels below those of

many Middle-Income Countries (see slide 9).
But, static view leads to a risk that countries may accumulate excessive levels of debt that could threaten a return to unsustainability, and weaken IDA without the intended result.
However risk of debt distress post-MDRI varies by country: Forward looking DSF points out continued fragility of most countries. See diagram on slide 10.



The Impact of the MDRIMDRI brings debt ratios for eligible countries (at least initially) down to levels

Слайд 6Debt Burden Indicators-Post MDRI

Debt Burden Indicators-Post MDRI

Слайд 7Preliminary Risk Ratings post-MDRI
Rwanda Niger

Burkina Faso Ethiopia

Guyana
Nicaragua
Ghana Senegal Tanzania Mali Uganda
Benin

Mozambique Zambia Madagascar
Preliminary Risk Ratings post-MDRIRwanda  NigerBurkina Faso  Ethiopia  Guyana NicaraguaGhana  Senegal  Tanzania

Слайд 8Impact of Non-concessional borrowing

Impact of Non-concessional borrowing

Слайд 9Key building blocks to an approach to free riding
Agreement on

a concessionality benchmark
Creditor coordination
Advanced reporting, increased monitoring.
Disincentives aimed at borrower

level



Key building blocks to an approach to free ridingAgreement on a concessionality benchmarkCreditor coordinationAdvanced reporting, increased monitoring.Disincentives

Слайд 10Concessionality benchmark for decisions
Concessional borrowing: multiples ways to measure it.
DAC

ODA definition used for statistical purposes: 25% concessional using 10%

discount rate.
Concessionality benchmark of at least 35% concessional using CIRR discount rates from IMF PRGF programs more realistic.
35% is a proven benchmark in IMF programs for borrowing in LICs that does not endanger sustainability
35% used by IDA in free-rider context: may be higher/lower if IMF program requires it.
Concessionality benchmark for decisionsConcessional borrowing: multiples ways to measure it.DAC ODA definition used for statistical purposes: 25%

Слайд 11Source: IMF presentation ECA Meeting May 2006

Source: IMF presentation ECA Meeting May 2006

Слайд 122. Creditor coordination
Free riding is a major issue for IDA

donors
Need a concerted international effort to prevent a repeat of

the past
Requires Broadening Creditor Acceptance of the DSF as useful tool – ideally to underpin an informal arrangement.
We have presented free-rider issue in number of fora as it has been developed – to MDBs early on in Tunis, to OECD creditors more recently at meetings in Paris.
Consultations will continue – including with non-OECD and commercial creditors.
2. Creditor coordination	Free riding is a major issue for IDA donorsNeed a concerted international effort to prevent

Слайд 13Access to Information in DSFs
Country-specific DSAs are already available on

IMF website - by country (www.imf.org)
About 40 DSF-style DSAs available

- 23 joint DSF-style DSAs.
Every month 2-3 additional DSAs are released.
A stand-alone site should be available in the next 6-8 weeks on World Bank debt website. (www.worldbank.org and type in debt).
Access to interactive DSF template also to be made more readily available.

Access to Information in DSFsCountry-specific DSAs are already available on IMF website - by country (www.imf.org)About 40

Слайд 14Countries subject to IDA free-riding policy

Countries subject to IDA free-riding policy

Слайд 153. Reporting and Monitoring
Reporting and Monitoring of information flows is

a weakness that may hamper a comprehensive approach to free-riding.
Close

sharing of information and monitoring of flows will help to identify and prevent cases of unwarranted non-concessional borrowing.
Monitoring is difficult – IDA is strengthening adherence to reporting requirements, working with other creditors to enhance reporting.
IDA requiring advanced reporting of planned new non-concessional borrowing.

3. Reporting and MonitoringReporting and Monitoring of information flows is a weakness that may hamper a comprehensive

Слайд 164. IDA disincentives at country level
Ultimately Borrower makes the final

borrowing decisions.
Pragmatic approach to determining whether a non-concessional loan is

a “breach” of the free-rider policy.
accept that some potentially high return projects may warrant special exceptions
Some additional flexibility for post-MDRI countries with low risk of debt distress
Emphasizes importance of debt management
4. IDA disincentives at country levelUltimately Borrower makes the final borrowing decisions.Pragmatic approach to determining whether a

Слайд 17Available instruments in IDA
For unwarranted breaches options available:
a reduction in

volumes,
changing IDA financing terms
However, there is a tradeoff:
volume cuts reduce

resources that could be used to reach the MDGs
hardening of terms may exacerbate debt sustainability problems.
Available instruments in IDAFor unwarranted breaches options available:a reduction in volumes,changing IDA financing termsHowever, there is a

Слайд 18Disincentives
Grant-eligible countries:
Volume cuts would primarily be used in countries in

which debt sustainability is a major concern
Initial 20% cut to

grant allocations removes “subsidy”, but can be escalated for more serious or prolonged breaches.
lf disincentives are ineffective, a strong undertaking would be sought from borrower to abide by an agreed borrowing strategy.
Last resort measure: Management could consider disengaging from future support to the country.

DisincentivesGrant-eligible countries:Volume cuts would primarily be used in countries in which debt sustainability is a major concernInitial

Слайд 19Risks to IDA incentive approach
Approach limited effectiveness if:
Countries can compensate

through additional non-concessional borrowing (risk higher for post-MDRI)
Disincentives lead to

a delay or reluctance to report, which has been particularly problematic outside of Fund arrangements.
Size of available non-concessional borrowing dwarfs IDA allocations (no leverage)
Risks to IDA incentive approach		Approach limited effectiveness if:Countries can compensate through additional non-concessional borrowing (risk higher for

Слайд 20Conclusion
No magic bullet to free rider problem
Requires concerted international effort

by all actors.
Efforts to enhance creditor coordination will continue.
Ongoing efforts

to improve debt management capacity should help.
Efforts to improve information on non-concessional borrowing and adherence to reporting requirements need to continue.

Conclusion	No magic bullet to free rider problemRequires concerted international effort by all actors.Efforts to enhance creditor coordination

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