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The Slow Russian Economic Growth as a Crisis

Arijo Klamer, Routledge 2007«Speaking of EconomicsHow to get in the conversation»

Слайды и текст этой презентации

Слайд 1The Slow Russian Economic Growth as a Crisis
Olga Bobrova
Associate

Professor at the Chair of Economics and Management of Enterprises

and Industrial Complexes

March 13, 2019

The Slow Russian Economic Growth as a Crisis  Olga BobrovaAssociate Professor at the Chair of Economics

Слайд 2Arijo Klamer, Routledge 2007
«Speaking of Economics
How to get in the

conversation»

Arijo Klamer, Routledge 2007«Speaking of EconomicsHow to get in the conversation»

Слайд 3Russian economic growth
“Russia’s growth prospects for 2018-2020 remain modest, forecasted

at 1.5 to 1.8 percent” World Bank Group. Russia Economic

Report #40
Russian economic growth“Russia’s growth prospects for 2018-2020 remain modest, forecasted at 1.5 to 1.8 percent” World Bank

Слайд 6A short historical overview
2009: the period of high oil prices

ended by the great fall
Russian government cured the problems

by the “Fund of stabilization”(oil money was spend to keep social stability), mitigated the damage. We avoided a social shock then.
Extensive model of the growth does not work anymore.
After Crimia reunion Russia has a very limited access to cheap money from abroad, but the government works with Asia…
A short historical overview2009: the period of high oil prices ended by the great fall Russian government

Слайд 8Students’ reflections of economic crises
Afraid to start business
Prefer to go

for internships to own parents
Low priority to visit large enterprises
2

out of 38 are interested to go for internship on a regional enterprise



Students’ reflections of economic crisesAfraid to start businessPrefer to go for internships to own parentsLow priority to

Слайд 9Industrial enterprises
Companies report:
Low internal demand
difficult conditions to work

with the state [gosoboronzakaz]
Jobs cuts in the industrial sector
People did

not agree with Pension reform
Industrial enterprisesCompanies report: Low internal demand difficult conditions to work with the state [gosoboronzakaz]Jobs cuts in the

Слайд 10Factors of growth
Cheep labor as a weak and notworking factor
Innovations

are not productive yet
Only government and private investments, but high

risks sustain
The external debt was minimalized recently, so the economy was again stabilized on the low level of development
Factors of growthCheep labor as a weak and notworking factorInnovations are not productive yetOnly government and private

Слайд 12“long” state by putin (Surkov’s interpretation)
Internet restrictions
More military financing
Economic plans

are not developed basically
Vladislav Surkov
Putin's state understands and works for

the "deep people" - a concept that is antithetical to the "deep state" of Western democracies
“long” state by putin (Surkov’s interpretation)Internet restrictionsMore military financingEconomic plans are not developed basicallyVladislav SurkovPutin's state understands

Слайд 13During crisis people are rethinking their future
Economists have a chance

to contribute their suggestions
Slow growth as a consequence of weak

institutions in Russia
During crisis people are rethinking their futureEconomists have a chance to contribute their suggestionsSlow growth as a

Слайд 14olbobrova@hotmail.com

olbobrova@hotmail.com

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